Metaculus is a platform that provides trustworthy forecasting and modeling infrastructure for forecasters, decision-makers, and the public. It creates forecasts in key areas such as biosecurity, AI progress, nuclear security, and climate change, aiming to improve research, decision-making, and policy. Metaculus offers forecasting tournaments where participants can predict real-world events and win prizes. It engages in collaborations with non-profits and other organizations to enhance forecasting capabilities and contributes to understanding complex global challenges.
Forecasting • Technology • Bayesian Inference • Forecasting Competitions • Scoring Rules
March 5
Metaculus is a platform that provides trustworthy forecasting and modeling infrastructure for forecasters, decision-makers, and the public. It creates forecasts in key areas such as biosecurity, AI progress, nuclear security, and climate change, aiming to improve research, decision-making, and policy. Metaculus offers forecasting tournaments where participants can predict real-world events and win prizes. It engages in collaborations with non-profits and other organizations to enhance forecasting capabilities and contributes to understanding complex global challenges.
Forecasting • Technology • Bayesian Inference • Forecasting Competitions • Scoring Rules
• Metaculus is a leading public forecasting platform providing trusted insights on global challenges. • As Operations Lead, you will ensure Metaculus runs smoothly, supporting internal teams and external partners. • You'll manage HR operations, financial record-keeping, event planning, and improve operational workflows. • Help with forecasting tournaments, maintain tracking systems, and support analytics and reporting. • Work is fully remote with flexible hours, favoring collaboration between 8:30 AM to 12:30 PM PST. • Join a small, collaborative team valuing independent work and real-time interaction.
• Operational Experience: 2+ years of experience in a business or nonprofit context, with demonstrated skills in bookkeeping/accounting, human resources, and/or general operations. • Tools: Experience with at least several of the following tools/platforms is important: Rippling, Deel, Ramp, Quickbooks Online, Notion. • Analytical Mindset: Strong data analysis skills with the ability to monitor metrics, identify trends, and propose actionable insights for operational improvements. • Communication Skills: Excellent verbal and written communication skills, capable of interacting effectively with various stakeholders across our internal team and with external partners. • Problem-Solving Abilities: Proactive approach to challenges, with the ability to think critically and navigate through operational issues. • Passion for Mission-Driven Work: An enthusiasm for contributing to Metaculus’ mission. • Bonus Skills: Familiarity with Forecasting: Understanding of crowd forecasting. • Proficiency with Tools: Experience with the operational and finance platforms we use: Google Workspace, Slack, Quickbooks, and Rippling are among the most important ones you would be interacting with on a day-to-day basis.
• Health Insurance: For US-based employees, we reimburse insurance premiums and healthcare costs under a QSEHRA plan, up to $6,350 for individuals and $12,800 for those with one or more dependents. • Retirement plan (401k) • Unlimited PTO • Full-time Remote • Flexible hours, provided that you have regular availability for meetings and Slack messages between 8:30 AM to 12:30 PM PST (4:30 PM to 8:30 PM GMT). • Professional growth opportunities (conferences, workshops, etc.)
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